Sorry if I missed it, but is the 2019 data just the first two months as well? Now, this is about as low as this park can possibly finish on this list - its been an above average homer park in 9 of the last 10 years, and had been an above average doubles park for nine straight years entering 2022 (99 this season). It should come as no surprise, then, that the Orioles have hit more combined home runs (426) than any other team over that two-year span, with more than 65 percent of those coming at home. This is as high as this park will ever appear on this list. With flatter angles in the outfield (from center field to the corners) that lead to a larger swath of grass for outfielders to cover, it's no surprise that Chase Field is a breeding ground for extra-base hits. And it had to work hard to do so in 2022, as hitters hit the ball harder here than anywhere but Fenway Park, trailing by only a fractional amount. What they got was a park that, while more hitter-friendly than it had been since its opening in 2009, still plays as one of the most pitcher-friendly venues in baseball. As mentioned, we dont know for sure which parks added the humidor. While doubles are down and triples are up this season, those two categories will even themselves out as the season progresses, as Comerica remains one of the premier destinations for hitters looking for an edge. There is nothing exciting about strikeouts and home runs. Let's tackle the more pitcher-friendly half of the 30 MLB parks today, and move on to the hitter-friendly ones tomorrow. A new, albeit abbreviated, season of data provides reason to check in on our updated MLB Park Factors. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images). THE BAT's park factors also account for physical properties of the parks (altitude, fence distance/height, foul ground, etc.) Stream exclusive games on ESPN+ and play Fantasy Baseball. In 2021, these events are now doubles and outs, with the increase in fly outs likely contributing (at least somewhat) to baseballs diminished run environment overall. Typically one of the more difficult places for a player to pick up an extra-base hitevidenced by a .388 slugging percentage that ranks 20th out of the 30 ballparks in baseballthe 2014 figures for the home of the defending National League champions are skewed by a small sample size of only six games. window.PLAYERCARDS_CONFIG={affiliateCode:"fpros_cards"}; Josh is a savvy, grizzled veteran in the realm of make-believe sports. An odd ballpark in many respects. One of these reasons for varying splits is the differing of all Ballparks across the MLB. While we may not see quite as many home runs as we have in the past due to Milwaukee's improved rotation and bullpen, the offense is comingand by season's end, Miller Park's 2014 park factors will more closely resemble those that we've become accustomed to. Only three other parks in baseballCoors Field, Great American Ballpark and Miller Parkhave been as friendly to power hitters as the bandbox known as Citizens Bank Ballpark. These are the parks to chase them. The chart is sortable, so you are able to examine any changes in fly ball quality within this broader 95109 mph exit velocity, less-than-30 degree launch angle group as you wish. Great American Ball Park and Fenway Park are the other parks that boost runs by more than 10%. Baltimore Orioles and the Cleveland Guardians, Friday, June 3, 2022, in Baltimore. Finally, his Zeile projection of 67 runs, 16 homers, 67. For one, dimensions will play a factor into a good hitters park. able to make a catch on an individual batted ball. American Family functioned as an extreme hitters park in the mid-2010s, but has settled in as one of those more homer-than-run-friendly parks of which we have now spoken multiple times. Doubles totals mushroom here - lots of balls that would otherwise become fly ball outs, or homers, become doubles (and even singles). A symmetrical ballpark with reachable porches down the lines and not-too-imposing power alleys make Rogers Centre one of the more hitter-friendly venues in baseball, consistently landing it in the top 10 in home runs and doubles when compared to its counterparts around the game. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Its challenging to reach the seats in eight of these nine parks Oracle Park being the exclusion after last years renovations. Dylan Covey (12) This is about as high on this list as this park can finish - it hasnt posted an above average homer park factor in the last decade. This season, it's not even closeNationals Park has been one of the more extreme pitcher-friendly parks in baseball. From 2012 to 2013, Angel Stadium ranked 15th in runs scored (1,380), 16th in slugging percentage (.402) and 17th in home runs (318). Without advertising income, we can't keep making this site awesome for you. With the deepest center field of any park in baseballone that features a flagpole and hill that are in playyou'd think that Minute Maid Park in Houston would be more of a pitcher's park than a hitter's park. Enjoy the high-octane offense while you can, for the park is likely to regress back toward its norms the deeper we get into the season. The renovations at Oracle Park greatly impacted offense in San Francisco. Another important effect of altitude on baseball is the influence thinner air has on pitching. It typically would rate as a bit more hitter-friendly, but 2022 was the first time since 2015 that PNC posted a sub-100 doubles park factor (at 99). It snuck onto the bottom of the hitter-friendly group by being the best park in the majors for singles this season (108 singles park factor). In 2021, that rate was 3.65 HR per 100 PA. (The r-squared between launch angle difference and home run rates was just 0.01.) OK, that's notreallya spoiler if you checked out our rankings ofMLB's most hitter-friendly ballparkslast week, but for those who missed it, take my word for it. While Nationals Park grades out as slightly hitter-friendly when it comes to scoring runs, collecting hits and legging out two-baggers, it only ranks in the top 10 in one of those categoriesdoubles (564)and just makes the cut as a pitcher-friendly venue over the past two years. Park Factors isolate the impact of the ballpark on in-game events, which can better help us predict the outcomes for players, teams, and games. Lets tackle the more pitcher-friendly half of the 30 MLB parks today, and move on to the hitter-friendly ones tomorrow. If were comparing 2019 to 21 data, that change would explain the large positive difference in home run rate there. A batted ball with the perfect combination of exit Parks in this family tend to be doubles-deniers; this one has posted doubles park factors of 95 and 90 in 2022 and 2021. While offense at Chase Field has been down so far in 2014, that will pick up as the season progresses, once again putting the home of the Arizona Diamondbacks near the top of the list when it comes to hitter-friendly venues in baseball. 10 straight years with an overall park factor below 100 - but only once has it landed below 90. Only one other American League park, Angel Stadium, has seen more balls clear the fences this year (16) than the 15 that have reached the seats on Chicago's South Side, while four balls have rolled around the outfield long enough for batters to reach third base. All in all, a fairly neutral park, though it gets there in unusual ways. Let's take a look at what the numbers tell us as we rank the 15 most hitter-friendly ballparks in baseball. Dylan Cease (14) It is just games played on or before May 31 for both 2019 and 2021, yes. Not because hed be better. Escape Velocity takes the average of a player's batted ball velocities subtracted from 88. Any ballpark with a TPF of 1.000 or above is classified as hitter-friendly, while any ballpark with a TPF below 1.000 sides with the pitcher. This is about as high as this park will ever be seen on this list. How much time, in seconds, it takes a runner to get from Arkansas Razorbacks. With more foul territory available to defenders than you typically find elsewhere, and with the home team boasting one of the more talented pitching staffs in baseball, it won't be long before offense at Busch Stadium falls back in line with its normal numbers. Our MLB Park Factors Report provides which ballparks have the biggest effect on hitting & pitching. attempt. Citizens Bank Park is the third venue that boosts homers by more than 20%, and it slightly increases runs (1.034 park factor for runs). Hope that these numbers can be the jumping off point for a more robust analysis by someone else! Perhaps the most iconic ballpark left in baseball (with Fenway Park providing the only other competition), Wrigley Field doesn't have the inviting short porches that some of the other ballparks on this list do. He's finished in the top 10 accuracy scores among experts here, at Fantasy Pros, in three of four years competing with his colleagues including a first-place finish in 2012. Marlins Park remains an offensive wasteland, despite the renovations. The hardest place in baseball to put a run on the board, Dodger Stadium is, without question, a pitcher's paradise. This is a fascinating thing but I do think you would need to take into account the getting better pitchers / getting worse hitters aspect of this in a more direct way. Wait, weve talked about the 15 most pitcher-friendly parks and havent visited Miami or San Francisco yet? Odrisamer Despaigne (3) Base hit types also correlate pretty closely - particularly homers (0.69), doubles (0.56) and, yes, triples (0.64). Manny Banuelos (8), Carlos Rodon (9) Current: The Park Factor home run score comes in at 1.011 which is very close to neutral. All data is courtesy of The Bill James Handbook. become a hit. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, The Rangers opened a new ballpark in 2020, and two parks, Marlins Park and Oracle Park, featured notable renovations. Don Mattingly sure as hell wouldnt se stupid enough to hit into a shift. *All non-ESPN Park Factor statistics courtesy of, explained his goals to MLB.com's Corey Brock. I dont expect a repeat #1 finish next season, but Great American as currently constituted should be a strong favorite for the #2 spot behind Coors. Do you see what's missing? How much spin, in revolutions per minute, a pitch was His fantasy advice for baseball and football has been found at many locations around the internet. How hard, in miles per hour, a fielder throws the ball. I ran a difference in proportions test to compare the rates from both years; parks highlighted in red experienced a significant change at the alpha = .01 level, and parks highlighted in yellow experienced a significant change at the alpha = .05 level. Among baseball's 30 venues, PNC boasts the game's lowest slugging percentage (.355), second-lowest run total (1,150) and third-lowest number of home runs (231). Adjust expectations accordingly. and, on certain types of batted balls, Sprint Speed. Its singles park factor has been average or higher in 8 of the last 10 seasons. Actually, you can almost throw a net over the parks in the middle third of this list. In addition, the winds that blow in off Lake Michigan, while unpredictable, tend to carry balls over the outstretched gloves of leaping outfielders more often than they hold balls up. How high/low, in degrees, a ball was hit by a batter. Another park that isnt as hitter-friendly as most believe. THE BAT's park factors use multiple years of data, account for the variance in each stat, and adjust for context. 2022 marked the 10th straight season that PNC recorded a homer park factor below 100. The lower a park's BF, the more of a pitcher's park it is. Login or sign up Additionally, you can subscribe to. Additionally, using partial-season data in addition to full-season numbers would only skew the results. Before we get to the ballparks that pitchers (should) love to pitch in, let's take a look at those that they should try and avoid at all costs: That Citizens Bank Park, Coors Field and Great American Ballpark rank among the most hostile venues for pitchers comes as no surprise, but there's a glaring omission from this list that should jump out at you. #19 - Kauffman Stadium (Royals) - 97.2 Overall Park Factor, 78.1 Fly Ball (29th), 75 Home Run (30th). Anything above 400 is going to be pitcher friendly. Better pitchers/worse hitters might be a factor, but what is the coefficient next to that variable? In order to access this exclusive content you must have a Baseball America Account. 8 mo. The ball seems to be the story here. Its entirely possible that, between 2019 and 21, a team added home run hitters to its lineup or acquired home run-adverse pitchers for its staff, or the opposite could also be true. 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